Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 11 Point Spread and PredictionsJames Johnson
The Baltimore Ravens visiting the Dallas Cowboys in the NFL week 11 is one of the most intriguing games of the weekend. Dallas is a solid favorite in the pay per head sites, but things change quickly in this league. Baltimore will present Dallas a challenge they haven’t seen this season. The Ravens have the best statistical defense in the NFL.
They are eager to see what all the fuzz about the Cowboys is. They will get a chance to upset the team with the best mark in the NFL on Sunday. Before placing action bets on this game, remember these teams face each other every four years because they play in difference conference.
Baltimore had ten days to prepared after beating the Cleveland Browns last week on Thursday Night Football. Dallas stole one from Pittsburgh, the Ravens’ number one rival in the AFC North.
These are the Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 11 Point Spread and Predictions:
Baltimore Ravens (5-4) at Dallas Cowboys (8-1)
- NFL Point Spread: Cowboys -7
- Game Total: 45
- Game Time: Sunday, November 20 | 1:00 PM ET
- Stadium: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
- TV: CBS
Why Bet the Baltimore Ravens to cover the NFL spread against the CowboysBaltimore hasn’t been particularly good in betting terms this season. The Ravens are 5-4 straight up but just 4-5 against the spread this year. The online bookie software adjusted the NFL betting lines knowing they are inferior to Dallas. But there is a particular factor which should give them a shot in this game.
Remember, it’s easy to fall in love with the Cowboys right now. We cashed in with the Dallas Cowboys vs. Pittsburgh Steelers from last week. They are the only team with an 8-1 record this season. Yet, it could be a little overhyped going on in Dallas this week.
First, now QB Tony Romo gave a heartful press conference supporting the team. And second, the pay per head sportsbooks have upgraded rookie RB Ezekiel Elliot to MVP favorite. It seems a little excessive for this week. I’m not sure how this young Dallas Cowboys team will handle all the good momentum.
In more football terms, the Ravens defense will keep this game close. Baltimore hears all the noise surrounding Dallas. They are sick of it as well. They will be in for a battle.
Not many NFL betting fans know this, but Baltimore has the best total defense in the NFL. The root of their lack of success comes on the offensive side. Expect the Raves to be all over the place against Dallas running game.
Baltimore allows only 71.3 rushing yards per game, which is the best number in the NFL. A loaded box up the middle is what the Ravens will have for RB Ezekiel Elliot and the Cowboys offensive plans.
Keep in mind the NFL betting stats say the Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points, 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win, 14-4-3 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 18-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog.
Why Bet the Dallas Cowboys to cover the NFL spread against the RavensThe Dallas Cowboys have the best record in the NFL. I can’t stress enough the fact that they went into Pittsburgh and came up with a 35-30 win. It was their eight win in a row since losing to the NY Giants in week one.
The Cowboys have a simple formula. It works, and they shouldn’t change it until someone stops them. They run the football first, and then the rest of the pieces fall into place. Ezekiel Elliot was outstanding last week. He ran for 114 yards and two touchdowns against the Steelers.
He’s the only running to have reached the 1000-rushing yards this season. And there still are seven games left for him to seek for some records.
Zeke Elliot runs fast and runs hard. But if Baltimore focuses solely on his they might get surprised. The per head sportsbooks have immense respect for what QB Dez Prescott have done under center.
The rookie is a game manager, but that’s not a bad thing. In comparison, Prescott has thrown only 35 fewer yards than the Ravens’ QB Joe Flacco this season. Prescott has thrown 14 touchdowns compared to Flacco’s nine and seven fewer interceptions.
The Cowboys are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. How to bet the Game Total in the Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 11 Matchup:As mentioned above there is a disconnection between how good the Baltimore defense is and how lousy their offense has performed this season.
The Ravens allow 17.8 points per game 3rd best number in the NFL. They score 20.2 points per game; 24th ranked in the league.
This season, the game total has been OVER just three of their nine games. The UNDER has made an appearance in 3 of the Ravens last five games overall, in 4 of their last five games in November, in 6 of their last seven games following an ATS win and 6 of their last eight vs. a team with a winning record.
Dallas has a similar issue with the game totals. Four of their last five games have been UNDER, according to the price per head services. Unlike Baltimore, Dallas offense is very efficient. But because they are a running team, a lot of the clock gets consume by their long drives.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Cowboys last seven games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 6-2 in Cowboys last eight games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 11-3 in Cowboys last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
By the way, the total was set at 45 points. It’s not high, but considering Dallas will face the best-ranked defense in the league, it looks good enough. Consider the total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’s last seven games when playing Baltimore. However, their current momentum suggests a thigh low-scoring battle.
Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 11 Point Spread and Predictions: Ravens +7 and the UNDER.